Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Yupanqui the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Leones de Rosario. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Yupanqui (1,532) and Leones de Rosario (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yupanqui have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leones de Rosario have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 3-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Canuelas(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Fénix(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Deportivo Muñiz(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Canuelas(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yupanqui win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leones de Rosario win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Leones de Rosario 0-0 Yupanqui | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Leones de Rosario vs Yupanqui on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yupanqui score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leones de Rosario score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yupanqui | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leones de Rosario | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yupanqui sit 8th in Primera C (33 points from 25 matches) and Leones de Rosario sit 3rd (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 37 |
| 8 | Yupanqui | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?
- The Footlab model makes Yupanqui the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Leones de Rosario.
- Where and when is Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario played?
- Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Central CordobavsEl Porvenir
- Sep 5, 2026Atletico AtlasvsGeneral Lamadrid
- Sep 5, 2026CanuelasvsLujan
- Sep 5, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsArgentino Rosario
- Sep 5, 2026JJ UrquizavsJuventud Unida
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsFénix
- Sep 5, 2026BerazateguivsEstrella Del Sur
- Sep 5, 2026Centro EspañolvsSacachispas