Match

Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo, Provincia de Buenos Aires

YupanquiLeones de Rosario

The Footlab model makes Yupanqui the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Leones de Rosario. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Yupanqui (1,532) and Leones de Rosario (1,630).

Yupanqui win34 %
Draw32 %
Leones de Rosario win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yupanqui have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leones de Rosario have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yupanqui
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atletico Atlas(home)0-2Primera C
Aug 14, 2026Puerto Nuevo(away)2-2Primera C
Aug 8, 2026El Porvenir(away)3-0Primera C
Aug 3, 2026Canuelas(home)1-2Primera C
Jul 27, 2026Fénix(away)1-1Primera C
Leones de Rosario
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Deportivo Muñiz(home)2-1Primera C
Aug 22, 2026Canuelas(away)0-1Primera C
Aug 17, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(home)2-0Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Centro Español(away)1-1Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Deportivo Español(away)0-0Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yupanqui win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leones de Rosario win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Leones de Rosario 0-0 YupanquiPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Leones de Rosario vs Yupanqui on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yupanqui score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leones de Rosario score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yupanqui1.31.348/158/15
Leones de Rosario0.90.865/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yupanqui sit 8th in Primera C (33 points from 25 matches) and Leones de Rosario sit 3rd (37 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Leones de Rosario259106242237
8Yupanqui25898312833

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?
The Footlab model makes Yupanqui the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Leones de Rosario.
Where and when is Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario played?
Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yupanqui and Leones de Rosario

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