Centro Español vs Sacachispas: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Sacachispas the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Centro Español. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Centro Español vs Sacachispas?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Centro Español (1,600) and Sacachispas (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Centro Español have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sacachispas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Victoriano Arenas(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mercedes(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Centro Español win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sacachispas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Sacachispas 1-1 Centro Español | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Sacachispas vs Centro Español on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Centro Español score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sacachispas score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centro Español | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sacachispas | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Centro Español sit 6th in Primera C (35 points from 24 matches) and Sacachispas sit 1st (42 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 6 | Centro Español | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Centro Español vs Sacachispas?
- The Footlab model makes Sacachispas the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Centro Español.
- Where and when is Centro Español vs Sacachispas played?
- Centro Español vs Sacachispas is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 5, 2026CanuelasvsLujan
- Sep 5, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsArgentino Rosario
- Sep 5, 2026JJ UrquizavsJuventud Unida
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsFénix
- Sep 5, 2026BerazateguivsEstrella Del Sur
- Sep 5, 2026ClaypolevsCentral Ballester