Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Carabobo FC the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Estudiantes de Merida FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Carabobo FC starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carabobo FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Estudiantes de Merida FC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monagas SC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Trujillanos FC(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Academia Anzoátegui(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Zamora FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Carabobo FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Estudiantes de Merida FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC 0-2 Carabobo FC | Primera División |
| May 13, 2026 | Carabobo FC 1-0 Estudiantes de Merida FC | Primera División |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC 3-2 Carabobo FC | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Carabobo FC 2-1 Estudiantes de Merida FC | Primera División |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Estudiantes de Merida FC 0-2 Carabobo FC | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Estudiantes de Merida FC 0-3 Carabobo FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carabobo FC score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estudiantes de Merida FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carabobo FC | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Estudiantes de Merida FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carabobo FC sit 7th in Primera División (19 points from 13 matches) and Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 6th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
- The Footlab model makes Carabobo FC the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
- Where and when is Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC played?
- Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.