Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ricardo Tulio Maya, Ciudad Bolívar
The Footlab model makes Monagas SC the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Metropolitanos FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Monagas SC (1,651) and Metropolitanos FC (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monagas SC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Metropolitanos FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 3-1 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mineros de Guyana(home) | 1-0 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carabobo FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Carabobo FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UCV(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monagas SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Metropolitanos FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC 1-0 Monagas SC | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Monagas SC 2-0 Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Metropolitanos FC 2-2 Monagas SC | Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Metropolitanos FC 1-2 Monagas SC | Primera División |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Monagas SC 0-2 Metropolitanos FC | Copa Venezuela |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Monagas SC 2-4 Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Metropolitanos FC vs Monagas SC on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Monagas SC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metropolitanos FC score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monagas SC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monagas SC sit 12th in Primera División (11 points from 13 matches) and Metropolitanos FC sit 2nd (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC?
- The Footlab model makes Monagas SC the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Metropolitanos FC.
- Where and when is Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC played?
- Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ricardo Tulio Maya, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.