Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Alberto Pérez, Valera
The Footlab model makes Caracas FC the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Trujillanos FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Caracas FC starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trujillanos FC have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Caracas FC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Deportivo Lara(home) | 0-0 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Academia Anzoátegui(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Urena SC(home) | 2-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Carabobo FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Yaracuyanos FC(away) | 3-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCV(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Trujillanos FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Caracas FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Caracas FC 4-2 Trujillanos FC | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Trujillanos FC 0-0 Caracas FC | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Trujillanos FC 0-0 Caracas FC | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Caracas FC 1-0 Trujillanos FC | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2018 | Caracas FC 2-0 Trujillanos FC | Primera División |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Trujillanos FC 1-1 Caracas FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Caracas FC vs Trujillanos FC on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trujillanos FC score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caracas FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos FC | 0.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Caracas FC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trujillanos FC sit 14th in Primera División (4 points from 13 matches) and Caracas FC sit 10th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Caracas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC?
- The Footlab model makes Caracas FC the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Trujillanos FC.
- Where and when is Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC played?
- Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Alberto Pérez, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.