UCV vs Puerto Cabello: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
The Footlab model makes Puerto Cabello the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for UCV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCV vs Puerto Cabello?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate UCV (1,679) and Puerto Cabello (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCV have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Puerto Cabello have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zamora FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caracas FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Monagas SC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trujillanos FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zamora FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Caracas FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UCV win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Puerto Cabello win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Puerto Cabello 2-1 UCV | Primera División |
| May 10, 2026 | UCV 3-1 Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Puerto Cabello 3-0 UCV | Primera División |
| Jan 20, 2026 | UCV 0-1 Puerto Cabello | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Puerto Cabello 2-2 UCV | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCV 1-0 Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Puerto Cabello vs UCV on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCV score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Puerto Cabello score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Puerto Cabello | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCV sit 4th in Primera División (23 points from 13 matches) and Puerto Cabello sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 23 |
| 4 | UCV | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 14 | UCV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCV vs Puerto Cabello?
- The Footlab model makes Puerto Cabello the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for UCV.
- Where and when is UCV vs Puerto Cabello played?
- UCV vs Puerto Cabello is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.