Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Guaira the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Academia Anzoátegui. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui?
Deportivo La Guaira starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,794 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Guaira have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Academia Anzoátegui have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zamora FC(home) | 6-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Monagas SC(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trujillanos FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Portuguesa FC(home) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Atletico Avila FC(home) | 3-1 | Copa Venezuela |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Deportivo La Guaira win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Academia Anzoátegui win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Academia Anzoátegui 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Academia Anzoátegui | Primera División |
| May 31, 2025 | Academia Anzoátegui 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
| May 12, 2025 | Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Academia Anzoátegui | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Academia Anzoátegui 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Guaira score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Academia Anzoátegui score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Academia Anzoátegui | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo La Guaira sit 1st in Primera División (27 points from 13 matches) and Academia Anzoátegui sit 13th (9 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Academia Anzoátegui | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoátegui | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Guaira the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Academia Anzoátegui.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui played?
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.