Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons: result 3-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Cardiff Draconians won 3-1 on February 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′598626Cardiff Draconians
- 40′644756Baglan Dragons
- 50′553520Cardiff Draconians (pen.)
- 86′635588Cardiff Draconians
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Cardiff Draconians win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Baglan Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff Draconians score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | 2.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff Draconians sit 10th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy