Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
The Footlab model makes Cardiff the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Cardiff (2,035) and Sheffield Utd (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cardiff win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Sheffield Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 0-1 Cardiff | FA Cup |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Cardiff 0-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 4-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Cardiff 0-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Cardiff | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Utd vs Cardiff on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 13th in Championship (1 points from 1 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 16th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cardiff | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Cardiff the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff City Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.