Charlton vs Preston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab model makes Charlton the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Preston?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Charlton (1,826) and Preston (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Preston have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Derby(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Charlton win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Preston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Charlton 1-2 Preston | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Preston 2-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Preston 2-1 Charlton | FA Cup |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Preston 2-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Charlton 0-1 Preston | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2016 | Preston 2-1 Charlton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Preston score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Preston | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 5th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Preston sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Preston?
- The Footlab model makes Charlton the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Preston.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Preston played?
- Charlton vs Preston is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.