Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin played?

Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

Carina Gubin

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,717).

Górnik Polkowice win61 %

Draw20 %

Carina Gubin win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Carina Gubin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Carina Gubin 1-2 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Jan 30, 2026	Górnik Polkowice 2-0 Carina Gubin	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 4, 2025	Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 18, 2025	Górnik Polkowice 2-1 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 21, 2024	Carina Gubin 0-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Feb 10, 2024	Carina Gubin 1-2 Górnik Polkowice	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Górnik Polkowice on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?: The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin played?: Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.