Match

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój

Goczałkowice ZdrójCarina Gubin

The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Carina Gubin (1,717).

Goczałkowice Zdrój win47 %
Draw25 %
Carina Gubin win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Goczałkowice Zdrój
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Carina Gubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carina Gubin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 11, 2025Carina Gubin 1-2 Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3
Mar 22, 2025Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 24, 2024Carina Gubin 1-3 Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3
May 15, 2024Carina Gubin 1-1 Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 21, 2023Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-0 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Goczałkowice Zdrój0.91.547/158/15
Carina Gubin1.41.7111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Goczałkowice Zdrój5113474
15Carina Gubin51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin played?
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Goczałkowice Zdrój and Carina Gubin

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