Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój
The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Carina Gubin 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Carina Gubin 1-3 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 15, 2024 | Carina Gubin 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-0 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin played?
- Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsWarta Gorzów
- May 1, 2027Stal BrzegvsBarycz Sułów
- May 1, 2027Stilon GorzówvsGórnik Polkowice
- May 1, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- May 1, 2027KluczborkvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- May 1, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsROW Rybnik
- May 1, 2027Sparta KatowicevsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- May 1, 2027SłowianinvsMiedź Legnica II