Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin played?

Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg

Stal Brzeg

Carina Gubin

The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Stal Brzeg (1,629) and Carina Gubin (1,717).

Stal Brzeg win52 %

Draw24 %

Carina Gubin win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Brzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Carina Gubin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 23, 2024	Carina Gubin 3-0 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 3, 2024	Stal Brzeg 1-2 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
May 20, 2023	Carina Gubin 1-1 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 14, 2022	Stal Brzeg 0-2 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2022	Stal Brzeg 3-0 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 9, 2021	Carina Gubin 1-0 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg on Nov 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin?: The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin played?: Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.