Stal Brzeg vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Ślęza Wrocław?
Ślęza Wrocław starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Brzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg 5-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 4-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 2-4 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Stal Brzeg 2-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Ślęza Wrocław 3-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Ślęza Wrocław 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs Ślęza Wrocław on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Ślęza Wrocław?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ślęza Wrocław.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Ślęza Wrocław played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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