Southend vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Roots Hall, Southend-on-Sea, Essex
The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southend vs Aldershot Town?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southend have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aldershot Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Southend win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Aldershot Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Aldershot Town 0-2 Southend | National League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Southend 3-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Southend 2-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Aldershot Town 0-0 Southend | National League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Southend 4-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Aldershot Town 1-1 Southend | National League |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Southend on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southend score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southend sit 1st in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 14th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southend vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Southend vs Aldershot Town played?
- Southend vs Aldershot Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Roots Hall, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.