Southend vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Roots Hall, Southend-on-Sea, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,122 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southend vs Aldershot Town?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,838).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southend vs Aldershot Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Aldershot Town
4-3-3- 11Hakeem Kwabena Owusu Sandah
- 9M. Dinanga
- 10B. Tuma
- 6D. Odusanya
- 23C. Lawless
- 21B. Peart
- 18N. Adom-Malaki
- 12Michael George Stickland
- 2M. Efete
- 5Kiki Oshilaja
- 1N. Hayes
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southend have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aldershot Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Tadley Calleva(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tadley Calleva(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 5-3 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 1-3 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Southend wins, 2 draws, 0 Aldershot Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Aldershot Town 0-2 Southend | National League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Southend 3-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Southend 2-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Aldershot Town 0-0 Southend | National League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Southend 4-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Aldershot Town 1-1 Southend | National League |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Southend on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southend sit 3rd in National League (27 points from 13 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 12th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 12 | Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Southend vs Aldershot Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southend vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Southend vs Aldershot Town played?
- Southend vs Aldershot Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Roots Hall, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.