Carlisle vs Colchester: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 26, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Colchester?
Carlisle won 1-0 on November 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 22′Paul ThirlwellCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colchester have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Alfreton Town(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Oldham(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Crewe(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Notts County(home) | 4-2 | League One |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Colchester | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy