Carlisle vs Colchester: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 26, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Colchester?
Carlisle won 1-0 on November 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 22′Paul ThirlwellCarlisle
Official lineup for Carlisle vs Colchester
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Carlisle
- 9R. Loy
- 14Lee Adamson Miller
- 4Jon-Paul McGovern
- 11Paul Thirlwell
- 17L. Noble
- 21James Trevor Berrett
- 3M. Robson
- 6Peter Michael Murphy
- 19C. Ribeiro
- 25Ľ. Michalík
- 1A. Collin
Colchester
- 7Ashley Vincent
- 15K. Odejayi
- 10K. Izzet
- 14Andy Bond
- 16I. Henderson
- 20B. Wilson
- 22A. Wordsworth
- 24B. Coker
- 4Magnus Okuonghae
- 6M. Heath
- 1Ben Williams
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colchester have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Alfreton Town(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Oldham(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Crewe(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Notts County(home) | 4-2 | League One |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Colchester | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Carlisle vs Colchester?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy