Carlisle vs Swindon Town: result 2-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
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What was the result of Carlisle vs Swindon Town?
Carlisle and Swindon Town drew 2-2 on September 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′J. JervisCarlisle
- 29′A. RooneySwindon Town
- 30′J. JervisCarlisle
- 32′Paul BensonSwindon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Swindon Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Preston(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Portsmouth(home) | 4-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Oxford United(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Preston(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Stoke City(away) | 4-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy