Carrarese vs Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palermo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Palermo?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Palermo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Palermo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Carrarese win, 1 draw, 2 Palermo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Carrarese 0-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Palermo 5-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| May 13, 2025 | Palermo 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Carrarese 1-0 Palermo | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 19th in Serie B (4 points from 6 matches) and Palermo sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 19 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Carrarese vs Palermo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Palermo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Palermo played?
- Carrarese vs Palermo is played on March 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.