Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United: prediction and stats
PremiershipMatchday 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
The Footlab AI model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrick Rangers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,007 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Carrick Rangers (1,486) and Ballymena United (1,446).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrick Rangers
4-3-3- 9D. Gibson
- 10A. Lecky
- 22P. Heatley
- 5J. Forsythe
- 14Aidan Daniel Steele
- 15B. Buchanan-Rolleston
- 6J. Callacher
- 3K. Nelson
- 12L. McCullough
- 30C. Hawthorne
- 1N. Gartside
Ballymena United
4-3-3- 9Igor Rutkowski
- 7C. McKee
- 22S. Edogun
- 6F. Sule
- 24C. McConnell
- 8J. Archer
- 2D. Toure
- 26K. Lyons-Foster
- 25L. O'Sullivan
- 5S. Whiteside
- 1D. Walsh
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrick Rangers have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ballymena United have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-7 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carrick Rangers wins, 2 draws, 4 Ballymena United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 0-3 Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 2-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ballymena United 2-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrick Rangers score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ballymena United score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ballymena United | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrick Rangers sit 6th in Premiership (20 points from 16 matches) and Ballymena United sit 10th (16 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 20 |
| 10 | Ballymena United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
A question about Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United played?
- Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Loughview Leisure Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.