Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stangmore Park, Dungannon
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dungannon Swifts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dungannon Swifts have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Glentoran have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dungannon Swifts win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Glentoran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Glentoran 5-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Glentoran 0-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Glentoran 1-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dungannon Swifts sit 5th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Glentoran sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dungannon Swifts.
- Where and when is Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran played?
- Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stangmore Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.