Match

Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey

Carshalton AthleticAveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,793) and Aveley (1,884).

Carshalton Athletic win27 %
Draw23 %
Aveley win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carshalton Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Dover(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Aveley 0-0 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 15, 2025Carshalton Athletic 1-1 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Mar 4, 2023Aveley 0-0 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 10, 2022Carshalton Athletic 1-0 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Dec 16, 2019Aveley 2-0 Carshalton AthleticFA Trophy
Dec 14, 2019Carshalton Athletic 3-3 AveleyFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carshalton Athletic1.81.2510/159/15
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Carshalton Athletic44008212
6Aveley42111067

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Carshalton Athletic.
Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley played?
Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Carshalton Athletic and Aveley

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