Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aveley wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,771) and Aveley (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carshalton Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Carshalton Athletic lineup.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Southall(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win, 4 draws, 1 Aveley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aveley 0-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 1-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Aveley 0-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Carshalton Athletic 1-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 16, 2019 | Aveley 2-0 Carshalton Athletic | FA Trophy |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Carshalton Athletic 3-3 Aveley | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carshalton Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carshalton Athletic sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (21 points from 13 matches) and Aveley sit 16th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 21 |
| 16 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley played?
- Carshalton Athletic vs Aveley is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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