Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Casa Pia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente?
GIL Vicente starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,058 vs 1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; GIL Vicente have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-7 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Casa Pia win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 GIL Vicente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 27, 2026 | GIL Vicente 2-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Casa Pia 1-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Casa Pia 1-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Casa Pia 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Pia sit 18th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 3 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GIL Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Casa Pia.
- Where and when is Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente played?
- Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.