Casa Pia vs Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Taça da LigaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 28, 2023 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
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What was the result of Casa Pia vs Nacional?
Casa Pia won 2-1 on September 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′WitiNacional
- 55′Felippe CardosoCasa Pia
- 90′ClaytonCasa Pia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Nacional have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Arouca(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Boavista(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Portosantense(away) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Vilaverdense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leixoes(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Torreense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Casa Pia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | Casa Pia 2-5 Nacional | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Nacional 1-2 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Casa Pia 2-3 Nacional | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Casa Pia 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Nacional | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy