Pro Patria vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Patria the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Varesina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Patria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Varesina?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Pro Patria (1,737) and Varesina (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Patria vs Varesina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Patria have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Varesina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pro Patria win, 1 draw, 0 Varesina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Varesina 0-0 Pro Patria | Serie D - Girone D |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Varesina 0-2 Pro Patria | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Varesina vs Pro Patria on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Patria score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Patria | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Patria sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (20 points from 10 matches) and Varesina sit 14th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 14 | Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Pro Patria vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Patria vs Varesina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Patria the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Varesina.
- Where and when is Pro Patria vs Varesina played?
- Pro Patria vs Varesina is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Speroni, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.