Pavia vs Correggese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Correggese the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Pavia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Correggese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavia vs Correggese?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Pavia (1,660) and Correggese (1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavia vs Correggese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavia
Not enough data to predict the Pavia lineup.
Correggese
Not enough data to predict the Correggese lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pavia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Correggese have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pavia wins, 0 draws, 1 Correggese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Correggese 2-1 Pavia | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavia score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Correggese score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavia | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Correggese | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavia sit 11th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 8 matches) and Correggese sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Pavia vs Correggese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavia vs Correggese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Correggese the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Pavia.
- Where and when is Pavia vs Correggese played?
- Pavia vs Correggese is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.