Match

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allegretti Campo A, San Damaso

Cittadella Vis ModenaPontedera

The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Pontedera. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera?

Cittadella Vis Modena starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,575).

53%27%20%
Cittadella Vis Modena winDrawPontedera win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cittadella Vis Modena

Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.

Pontedera

4-3-3
  1. 25Herculano Nabian
  2. 28A. Raychev
  3. 17P. Vitali
  1. 8F. Faggi
  2. 20R. Pietrelli
  3. 10E. Kabashi
  1. 13M. Å apola
  2. 23C. Cerretti
  3. 94L. Piana
  4. 3D. Leo
  1. 21V. Biagini

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella Vis Modena have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pontedera have 1, 2 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cittadella Vis Modena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026USD Casatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Oct 7, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(away)0-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Pontedera(away)3-0Serie D - Girone D
Sep 27, 2026Correggese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Sep 20, 2026Lentigione(away)1-0Serie D - Girone D
Pontedera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Coriano(away)2-1Serie D - Girone D
Oct 11, 2026Lentigione(away)0-2Serie D - Girone D
Oct 4, 2026Cittadella Vis Modena(home)0-3Serie D - Girone D
Sep 20, 2026Città di Varese(home)0-3Serie D - Girone D
Sep 16, 2026Pro Sesto(away)0-3Serie D - Girone D

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Cittadella Vis Modena win, 0 draws, 0 Pontedera wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Pontedera 0-3 Cittadella Vis ModenaSerie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Pontedera vs Cittadella Vis Modena on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pontedera score 0.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cittadella Vis Modena0.81.082/154/15
Pontedera0.62.016/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cittadella Vis Modena sit 7th in Serie D - Girone D (10 points from 7 matches) and Pontedera sit 18th (3 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Cittadella Vis Modena73137510
18Pontedera71065183

A question about Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera?
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Pontedera.
Where and when is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera played?
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pontedera is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allegretti Campo A, in the Serie D - Girone D.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cittadella Vis Modena and Pontedera

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