Castellón vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 39Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Real Sociedad II?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Castellón win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Real Sociedad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 4-2 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Castellón 5-4 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| May 27, 2023 | Real Sociedad II 1-1 Castellón | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Castellón 1-1 Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Castellón on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 7th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castellón | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Castellón vs Real Sociedad II is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.