Sporting Gijon vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 39Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Eibar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Sporting Gijon (1,954) and Eibar (2,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Eibar have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijon wins, 3 draws, 1 Eibar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Eibar 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Eibar 1-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| May 26, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Eibar 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Eibar vs Sporting Gijon on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 6th in Segunda División (16 points from 9 matches) and Eibar sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Eibar.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Eibar played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Eibar is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.