Sporting Gijon vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 39Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Eibar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sporting Gijon (1,968) and Eibar (2,017).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Eibar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijon win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Eibar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Eibar 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Eibar 1-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| May 26, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Eibar 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Eibar vs Sporting Gijon on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Eibar | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 6th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Eibar sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Eibar.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Eibar played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Eibar is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.