Match

Las Palmas vs Almeria: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 39Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las PalmasAlmeria

The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas vs Almeria?

Almeria starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,105 vs 1,997).

35%27%38%
Las Palmas winDrawAlmeria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Almeria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Las Palmas

4-4-2
  1. 10Jesé
  2. 14Manu Fuster
  1. 11T. Miyashiro
  2. 24Iván Jaime
  3. 12E. Loiodice
  4. 20Kirian Rodríguez
  1. 25Valentín Pezzolesi
  2. 4Álex Suárez
  3. 15Juan Herzog
  4. 21G. Bonfanti
  1. 13José Caro

Almeria

4-2-3-1
  1. 24Miguel de la Fuente
  1. 14Javi Muñoz
  2. 17B. Cipenga
  3. 11Sergio Arribas
  4. 29S. Džodić
  5. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 2Marcos Luna
  3. 3Álex Muñoz
  4. 5Jorge Pulido
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Almeria have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Real Sociedad II(home)1-0Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Castellón(home)0-3Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Mallorca(away)1-3Segunda División
Oct 4, 2026Valladolid(home)2-2Segunda División
Almeria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Castellonense(away)2-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Oviedo(home)2-2Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)4-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Leganes(home)3-0Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Burgos(home)2-1Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Palmas wins, 2 draws, 2 Almeria wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Almeria 1-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
Sep 27, 2025Las Palmas 0-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
Mar 17, 2024Las Palmas 0-1 AlmeriaLa Liga
Oct 28, 2023Almeria 1-2 Las PalmasLa Liga
Jul 23, 2023Almeria 0-0 Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs
Jan 9, 2022Las Palmas 1-1 AlmeriaSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Las Palmas on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Palmas1.51.649/1510/15
Almeria2.00.775/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Palmas sit 14th in Segunda División (14 points from 11 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Almeria1181222925
14Las Palmas11425141914

A question about Las Palmas vs Almeria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Almeria?
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Las Palmas.
Where and when is Las Palmas vs Almeria played?
Las Palmas vs Almeria is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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