Las Palmas vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 39Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,744 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,985).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Almeria have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Palmas wins, 2 draws, 2 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria | La Liga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Almeria 0-0 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Las Palmas 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Las Palmas on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Almeria | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 14th in Segunda División (14 points from 11 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Almeria played?
- Las Palmas vs Almeria is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.