Cadiz vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 39Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs Burgos?
Burgos starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cadiz vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 17A. Moueffek
- 4Javi Castro
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 1David Gil
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cadiz wins, 3 draws, 1 Burgos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Burgos 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Cadiz 1-3 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Burgos 2-2 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Cadiz 1-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 20th in Segunda División (7 points from 10 matches) and Burgos sit 8th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Cadiz vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs Burgos played?
- Cadiz vs Burgos is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.