Castellón vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,845 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Valladolid?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (2,107 vs 1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Valladolid have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Castellón win, 0 draws, 1 Valladolid win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Valladolid 0-4 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Castellón 0-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Valladolid vs Castellón on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 1st in Segunda División (26 points from 11 matches) and Valladolid sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 26 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Castellón vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Valladolid played?
- Castellón vs Valladolid is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.