Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,916) and Sporting Gijon (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Granada CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sporting Gijon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Granada CF 1-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Granada CF 5-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 4th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Granada CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.