Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Granada CF wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,949) and Sporting Gijon (1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Granada CF wins, 0 draws, 3 Sporting Gijon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Granada CF 1-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Granada CF 5-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 10th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.