Almeria vs Sabadell: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Sabadell. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Sabadell?
On Elo ratings, Almeria has 2,075 points and Sabadell 2,024.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Sabadell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 9Thalys
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 33Quim Junyent
- 29S. Džodić
- 18F. Bonini
- 21Chumi
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 22D. Chirino
- 1Andrés Fernández
Sabadell
4-4-2- 23J. Priego
- 10Ángel Baena
- 7Ton Ripoll
- 22Q. Liameed
- 20Urri
- 8Pere Pons
- 6Edgar González
- 14Óscar Sanz
- 4Miki Codina
- 27José Luis Català
- 1Diego Fuoli
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Sabadell have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Almeria win, 1 draw, 1 Sabadell win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sabadell 1-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Almeria 2-2 Sabadell | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Sabadell 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sabadell score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Sabadell | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 1st in Segunda División (21 points from 9 matches) and Sabadell sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
A question about Almeria vs Sabadell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Sabadell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Sabadell.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Sabadell played?
- Almeria vs Sabadell is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.