Eibar vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar vs Leganes?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,881).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar vs Leganes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Leganes
5-3-2- 21Álvaro Morata
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 11Naim García
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 22Álex Sancris
- 13L. Zidane
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Leganes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eibar wins, 2 draws, 2 Leganes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Leganes 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Eibar 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Leganes 0-2 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Eibar 0-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Eibar 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Leganes 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar sit 2nd in Segunda División (21 points from 9 matches) and Leganes sit 16th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Eibar vs Leganes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Leganes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Eibar vs Leganes played?
- Eibar vs Leganes is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.