Castellonense vs Mallorca II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló
The Footlab model makes Mallorca II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellonense vs Mallorca II?
Mallorca II starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Mallorca II have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Hércules II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villarreal III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 7-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellonense score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca II score 3.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellonense | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mallorca II | 3.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mallorca II | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 61 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs Mallorca II?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Castellonense vs Mallorca II played?
- Castellonense vs Mallorca II is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.