Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorca Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,887) and Orihuela (1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Orihuela
5-4-1- 23Javi Solsona
- 17Gonzalo Miranda
- 11Joan Monterde
- 6F. Rivera
- 8José Lara
- 20S. Marc
- 21L. Booker
- 15Carlos Sánchez
- 24R. Garcia
- 3N. Vila
- 1I. Buigues
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Orihuela have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lorca Deportiva wins, 0 draws, 1 Orihuela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orihuela 1-0 Lorca Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorca Deportiva sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (9 points from 7 matches) and Orihuela sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orihuela | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Orihuela.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs Orihuela is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.