Peña Deportiva vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, Ibiza
The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Elche II?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Peña Deportiva (1,928) and Elche II (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Deportiva have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Elche II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Peña Deportiva win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Elche II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Peña Deportiva 1-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Elche II 2-1 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Deportiva vs Elche II on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Elche II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peña Deportiva sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (35 points from 34 matches) and Elche II sit 10th (47 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Elche II | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Deportiva vs Elche II?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Peña Deportiva vs Elche II played?
- Peña Deportiva vs Elche II is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.