Poblense vs Real Murcia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Murcia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poblense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poblense vs Real Murcia II?
On Elo ratings, Poblense has 1,935 points and Real Murcia II 1,836.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poblense vs Real Murcia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poblense
4-3-3- 11Marco
- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 6Joan Salvà
- 3J. Payeras
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Real Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the Real Murcia II lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poblense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Murcia II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Poblense score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia II score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poblense | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Murcia II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poblense sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 9 matches) and Real Murcia II sit 15th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Poblense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 15 | Real Murcia II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Poblense vs Real Murcia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poblense vs Real Murcia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Murcia II.
- Where and when is Poblense vs Real Murcia II played?
- Poblense vs Real Murcia II is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.