Catanzaro vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
The Footlab AI model makes Catanzaro the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Catanzaro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Catanzaro (1,879) and Ascoli (1,968).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Catanzaro vs Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 19N. Koffi
- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 30G. Alesi
- 98N. Mosti
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 26B. Verrengia
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Ascoli
3-5-2- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 35G. Gori
- 19A. Guiébré
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 77D. Bolsius
- 30M. Curado
- 62T. Milanese
- 33N. Rizzo
- 1S. Vitale
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catanzaro have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Ascoli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Catanzaro win, 0 draws, 1 Ascoli win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Catanzaro 3-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Ascoli 1-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Catanzaro score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catanzaro sit 19th in Serie B (3 points from 5 matches) and Ascoli sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Catanzaro the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Catanzaro vs Ascoli played?
- Catanzaro vs Ascoli is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.