Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Empoli win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Vicenza Virtus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2021 | Empoli 4-2 Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Vicenza Virtus 0-2 Empoli | Serie B |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Empoli 2-2 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Empoli 2-0 Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus on Aug 15, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 9th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.