Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab AI model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vicenza Virtus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Empoli
3-5-2- 10E. Saporiti
- 11S. Shpendi
- 21Gerard Yepes
- 91N. Corrado
- 15J. Ceesay
- 39E. Biondini
- 35M. Egan
- 8L. Magnino
- 33C. Cauz
- 25M. Curto
- 12J. Seghetti
Vicenza Virtus
3-5-2- 33S. Merkaj
- 7N. Rauti
- 29L. Zonta
- 32F. Costa
- 28L. Caferri
- 4M. Carraro
- 24Filippo Alessio
- 14G. Cuomo
- 23N. Brighenti
- 5R. Marchizza
- 16R. Gagno
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Koper(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Empoli wins, 1 draw, 0 Vicenza Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2021 | Empoli 4-2 Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Vicenza Virtus 0-2 Empoli | Serie B |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Empoli 2-2 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Empoli 2-0 Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus on Aug 15, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 13th in Serie B (6 points from 5 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.