Virtus Entella vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Mantova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Entella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,836) and Mantova (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Entella vs Mantova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 9E. Gliozzi
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 19F. Ruocco
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mantova have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Virtus Entella win, 0 draws, 1 Mantova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Mantova 1-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Mantova | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Mantova vs Virtus Entella on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 14th in Serie B (5 points from 5 matches) and Mantova sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Mantova.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Mantova played?
- Virtus Entella vs Mantova is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.