Sudtirol vs Sampdoria: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Sampdoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sudtirol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,825) and Sampdoria (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 9T. Lauritsen
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 10L. Insigne
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 7M. Cicconi
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 1P. Vindahl
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Sampdoria have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sudtirol wins, 0 draws, 2 Sampdoria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Sampdoria 1-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sudtirol 3-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sudtirol 2-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Sampdoria 1-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Sampdoria 0-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Sudtirol 3-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sampdoria score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Sampdoria | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 4th in Serie B (12 points from 6 matches) and Sampdoria sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Sampdoria.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Sampdoria played?
- Sudtirol vs Sampdoria is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.