Caudal vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, Mieres del Camino
The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caudal vs Gijón Industrial?
Caudal starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caudal vs Gijón Industrial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Gijón Industrial
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- JJosé Naya
- DDiego Sánchez
- BBorja López Prieto
- BBabafemo Fofana
- SSanti Otero
- PPablo Bango
- JJuan Runza
- JJoaquin Flórez
- JJ. Korbla
- DDiego García Bravo
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caudal have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andes(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caudal wins, 3 draws, 1 Gijón Industrial win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal 4-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Caudal 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 2-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Caudal 0-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Caudal vs Gijón Industrial on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caudal sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Gijón Industrial sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Caudal | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 9 | Gijón Industrial | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Caudal vs Gijón Industrial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caudal vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Caudal vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Caudal vs Gijón Industrial is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.