Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol de Mareo, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 5% for Ceares. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares?
Sporting Gijón II starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijón II
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Gijón II lineup.
Ceares
Not enough data to predict the Ceares lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijón II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ceares have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Martín(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Siero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijón II wins, 4 draws, 0 Ceares wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceares 0-0 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 0-0 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 4-0 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Ceares 2-2 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sporting Gijón II 0-0 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Ceares 1-3 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ceares vs Sporting Gijón II on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijón II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ceares score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ceares | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijón II sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (17 points from 7 matches) and Ceares sit 15th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijón II | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 15 | Ceares | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 5% for Ceares.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares played?
- Sporting Gijón II vs Ceares is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol de Mareo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.