Match

CD Coria vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Coria

CD CoriaLugo

The Footlab AI model makes CD Coria the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Coria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Coria vs Lugo?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate CD Coria (1,896) and Lugo (1,945).

37%29%34%
CD Coria winDrawLugo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CD Coria vs Lugo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 20Iñaki León
  2. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  3. 23A. Dominguez
  4. 22B. Núñez
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 11M. Dauda
  3. 16A. Palma
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 6Kevin Presa
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 4Ibaider Garriz
  4. 3Pere Haro
  1. 1Marc Martínez

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Coria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lugo have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026CD Coria(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 CD Coria wins, 0 draws, 1 Lugo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Lugo 1-0 CD CoriaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lugo vs CD Coria on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15
Lugo1.30.876/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CD Coria sit 18th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 7 matches) and Lugo sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Lugo65109316
18CD Coria712410155

A question about CD Coria vs Lugo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Coria vs Lugo?
The Footlab AI model makes CD Coria the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Lugo.
Where and when is CD Coria vs Lugo played?
CD Coria vs Lugo is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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