Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa?
Pontevedra starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pontevedra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cultural Leonesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Pontevedra 0-1 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Pontevedra 1-0 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Pontevedra vs Cultural Leonesa is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.