Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Marcos, Quintanar del Rey
The Footlab AI model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Almansa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Quintanar del Rey wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Quintanar del Rey (1,763) and Almansa (1,709).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quintanar del Rey
Not enough data to predict the Quintanar del Rey lineup.
Almansa
Not enough data to predict the Almansa lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quintanar del Rey have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Almansa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villarrobledo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Quintanar del Rey wins, 2 draws, 0 Almansa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Almansa 1-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Almansa 1-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Almansa 0-5 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey on Apr 24, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Quintanar del Rey score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Almansa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Almansa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quintanar del Rey sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (6 points from 9 matches) and Almansa sit 10th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Almansa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Almansa.
- Where and when is Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa played?
- Quintanar del Rey vs Almansa is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Marcos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.