Villarrubia vs Manchego: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Nuevo Municipal, Villarrubia de los Ojos
The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Villarrubia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchego wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarrubia vs Manchego?
Manchego starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarrubia vs Manchego
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarrubia
Not enough data to predict the Villarrubia lineup.
Manchego
Not enough data to predict the Manchego lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarrubia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Manchego have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Villa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrijos(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almansa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Villarrubia wins, 2 draws, 1 Manchego win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Villarrubia 1-0 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Manchego 1-1 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Manchego 1-2 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Villarrubia 2-0 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Manchego 3-0 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Villarrubia 0-0 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrubia vs Manchego on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarrubia score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Manchego score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrubia | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Manchego | 0.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarrubia sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (7 points from 8 matches) and Manchego sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Villarrubia vs Manchego?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarrubia vs Manchego?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Villarrubia.
- Where and when is Villarrubia vs Manchego played?
- Villarrubia vs Manchego is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.