Marchamalo vs Torrijos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Deportivo La Solana, Marchamalo
The Footlab AI model makes Torrijos the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Marchamalo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torrijos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marchamalo vs Torrijos?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Marchamalo (1,731) and Torrijos (1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marchamalo vs Torrijos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marchamalo
Not enough data to predict the Marchamalo lineup.
Torrijos
4-3-3- BBorja Escoredo
- AAlejandro Gálan
- JJony Lomas
- BBorja Blázquez
- ÁÁlvaro Antón
- ÁÁlex Cerrillo
- PPablo Murillo Dominguez
- JJosé Manuel García Jurado
- EEmilio Calvo
- ÁÁlvaro Juárez
- DDiego Pedraza
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marchamalo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Torrijos have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Noblejas(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marchamalo wins, 1 draw, 1 Torrijos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2024 | Torrijos 0-3 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Marchamalo 2-0 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Torrijos 0-3 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Marchamalo 1-1 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Torrijos 2-1 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Marchamalo 3-2 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Torrijos vs Marchamalo on May 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Marchamalo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Torrijos score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marchamalo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Torrijos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marchamalo sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (8 points from 6 matches) and Torrijos sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Marchamalo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Marchamalo vs Torrijos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marchamalo vs Torrijos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torrijos the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Marchamalo.
- Where and when is Marchamalo vs Torrijos played?
- Marchamalo vs Torrijos is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Deportivo La Solana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.