Ceara vs Fortaleza EC: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 17, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
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What was the result of Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?
Ceara won 2-1 on May 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 28′MaíltonFortaleza EC (pen.)
- 58′MelkCeara
- 68′JúlioCeara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 9, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 7, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 3, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Maranhão(away) | 3-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | CRB(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 10, 2026 | Avai(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 7, 2026 | Confiança(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 2, 2026 | Goias(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceara win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Fortaleza EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Ceara 2-0 Fortaleza EC | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Ceara 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Ceara 0-0 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Ceara 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 0-1 Ceara | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 17th in Serie B (28 points from 24 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 4th (40 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 17 | Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy